{
  "data": {
    "id": "portugal-legislative-2029",
    "country": "PT",
    "country_name": "Portugal",
    "date": "2029-10-14",
    "date_status": "tentative",
    "kind": "legislative",
    "conditional": null,
    "timezone": "Europe/Lisbon",
    "status": "scheduled",
    "last_verified_at": "2026-09-25T12:00:00Z",
    "stale": false,
    "stale_reason": null,
    "provenance": {
      "from": "researcher agent 2026-09-25: Constitution arts. 171, 173, 174, 187 and Lei 14/79 (Lei Eleitoral da Assembleia da República) arts. 13, 19, 20, 41, 89, 106-I, 106-J, 107, 111-A, 113, 115, 118 (consolidated texts on diariodarepublica.pt); CNE official results list and Mapa Oficial n.º 2-A/2025 (cne.pt); SGMAI provisional-results index eleicoes.mai.gov.pt; government swearing-in dates from portugal.gov.pt / presidencia.pt news items",
      "licence": "CC BY 4.0 (Election Index)"
    },
    "url": "https://electionindex.org/election/portugal-legislative-2029",
    "races": [
      {
        "id": "assembleia",
        "key": "portugal-legislative-2029/assembleia",
        "name": "Assembleia da República",
        "body": "legislature-unicameral",
        "seats": 230,
        "polls_close_utc": "2029-10-14T19:00:00Z",
        "authority": {
          "id": "pt-cne",
          "name": "National Elections Commission",
          "name_local": "Comissão Nacional de Eleições",
          "role": "electoral-commission",
          "homepage": "https://www.cne.pt/",
          "results_index": "https://www.cne.pt/content/eleicoes-referendos-resultados-oficiais",
          "open_data": null
        },
        "status": "scheduled",
        "expected_stage_now": null,
        "observed": false,
        "final_observed": null,
        "final_expected": {
          "from": "2029-10-24T23:00:00Z",
          "by": "2029-11-05T23:59:59Z",
          "confidence": "precedent",
          "basis": "Each circle's general-count assembly starts at 09:00 on day 2 (Lei 14/79 art. 107), should finish by day 10 (art. 111-A) and proclaims its result by public notice (edital, art. 112); its minutes go to the Comissão Nacional de Eleições within two days (art. 113). Art. 115: 'Nos oito dias subsequentes à recepção das actas de apuramento geral de todos os círculos eleitorais, a Comissão Nacional de Eleições elabora e faz publicar no Diário da República, 1.ª série, um mapa oficial com o resultado das eleições'. Precedent: Mapa Oficial n.º 2-A/2025 was published on 31 May 2025 for the 18 May election (day 13); Mapa Oficial n.º 2-A/2024 on 23 Mar 2024 for the 10 Mar election (day 13) (both on cne.pt). The window opens on day 11, after the overseas count (ESTIMATED floor), and closes at the end of Monday 5 Nov 2029 (day 22; Lisbon on UTC+0 from 28 Oct): overseas assemblies finishing about day 12, plus two days for the minutes and the full eight days for the map, erring late. Appeals go to the Tribunal Constitucional within 24 hours of the edital and are decided within days (art. 118); there is no court confirmation step, so no court-validation stage. A voided and re-run vote (as in the Europa circle in 2022, re-run in March 2022) would push the map well past this window."
        },
        "stages": [
          {
            "stage": "election-night",
            "from": "2029-10-14T19:00:00Z",
            "by": "2029-10-15T04:00:00Z",
            "replacedAt": "2029-10-24T08:00:00Z",
            "confidence": "estimate",
            "citation": "Polling stations open at 08:00 and admit voters until 19:00 local time (Lei 14/79 arts. 41, 89). On 14 Oct 2029 mainland Portugal and Madeira are on WEST (UTC+1) and the Azores on UTC+0 (EU summer time ends 28 Oct 2029): mainland closes 18:00 UTC, the Azores 19:00 UTC, which is used here as the last close. SGMAI publishes the provisional count for the 226 seats of the national-territory circles on eleicoes.mai.gov.pt through the night. The window (to 05:00 WEST Monday) is an ESTIMATE; no 2025 completion time was verified. The four seats of the two overseas circles (Europa, Fora da Europa) are not decided on election night. Provisional, not the official result.",
            "source": null,
            "observedAt": null,
            "observedSource": null
          },
          {
            "stage": "intermediate-count",
            "from": "2029-10-24T08:00:00Z",
            "by": "2029-10-26T22:59:59Z",
            "replacedAt": null,
            "confidence": "announced",
            "citation": "Lei 14/79 art. 106-I(1): the assemblies counting the votes of voters resident abroad 'iniciam os seus trabalhos às 9 horas do décimo dia posterior ao da eleição' - Wednesday 24 Oct 2029, 09:00 WEST (08:00 UTC); art. 106-J: a general-count assembly per overseas circle consolidates them. This decides the last four seats. Precedent: 2025 election on 18 May, overseas votes counted and results reported on Wed 28 May 2025, day 10 (Público and RTP, 28 May 2025). The close (end of Friday 26 Oct, WEST) is an ESTIMATE allowing two extra days. Still not the official national result.",
            "source": null,
            "observedAt": null,
            "observedSource": null
          },
          {
            "stage": "final-result",
            "from": "2029-10-24T23:00:00Z",
            "by": "2029-11-05T23:59:59Z",
            "replacedAt": null,
            "confidence": "precedent",
            "citation": "Each circle's general-count assembly starts at 09:00 on day 2 (Lei 14/79 art. 107), should finish by day 10 (art. 111-A) and proclaims its result by public notice (edital, art. 112); its minutes go to the Comissão Nacional de Eleições within two days (art. 113). Art. 115: 'Nos oito dias subsequentes à recepção das actas de apuramento geral de todos os círculos eleitorais, a Comissão Nacional de Eleições elabora e faz publicar no Diário da República, 1.ª série, um mapa oficial com o resultado das eleições'. Precedent: Mapa Oficial n.º 2-A/2025 was published on 31 May 2025 for the 18 May election (day 13); Mapa Oficial n.º 2-A/2024 on 23 Mar 2024 for the 10 Mar election (day 13) (both on cne.pt). The window opens on day 11, after the overseas count (ESTIMATED floor), and closes at the end of Monday 5 Nov 2029 (day 22; Lisbon on UTC+0 from 28 Oct): overseas assemblies finishing about day 12, plus two days for the minutes and the full eight days for the map, erring late. Appeals go to the Tribunal Constitucional within 24 hours of the edital and are decided within days (art. 118); there is no court confirmation step, so no court-validation stage. A voided and re-run vote (as in the Europa circle in 2022, re-run in March 2022) would push the map well past this window.",
            "source": null,
            "observedAt": null,
            "observedSource": null
          },
          {
            "stage": "government",
            "from": "2029-10-24T23:00:00Z",
            "by": null,
            "replacedAt": null,
            "confidence": "estimate",
            "citation": "Constitution art. 187: the President appoints the prime minister 'ouvidos os partidos representados na Assembleia da República e tendo em conta os resultados eleitorais'; the new Assembly meets on the third day after the general count (art. 173). No statutory deadline. The opening (day 11, once the overseas count of day 10 is in) is an ESTIMATE, not a legal bar.",
            "source": null,
            "observedAt": null,
            "observedSource": null
          }
        ],
        "sources": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.eleicoes.mai.gov.pt/",
            "role": "results-live",
            "kind": "emb_home",
            "kindReason": "site root: cannot answer a results question",
            "resolvable": false,
            "origin": "race",
            "note": "Secretaria-Geral do Ministério da Administração Interna (SGMAI) index of provisional results ('Resultados dos Escrutínios Provisórios'), not a page for this election. Checked 25 Sep 2026: it lists Legislativas 2025 at /legislativas2025/ (also 2024, 2022, 2019 ...); no 2029 page yet and none is predicted here. Provisional count only, not the official result.",
            "check": null
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.cne.pt/content/eleicoes-referendos-resultados-oficiais",
            "role": "results-final",
            "kind": "results_index",
            "kindReason": "results section without an election code",
            "resolvable": false,
            "origin": "race",
            "note": "Comissão Nacional de Eleições list of official results (mapas oficiais published in Diário da República, 1.ª série). 2025 equivalent: Mapa Oficial n.º 2-A/2025 of 31 May 2025 (cne.pt/content/mapa-oficial-no-2-a2025-de-31-de-maio), later corrected by Declaração de Retificação n.º 31/2025/1.",
            "check": null
          },
          {
            "url": "https://diariodarepublica.pt/dr/legislacao-consolidada/lei/1979-34485975",
            "role": "timetable",
            "kind": "other",
            "kindReason": "election page without a results marker",
            "resolvable": false,
            "origin": "race",
            "note": "Lei 14/79 (Lei Eleitoral da Assembleia da República), consolidated text: date rules (arts. 19-20), polling hours (arts. 41, 89), count of the overseas circles (arts. 106-I, 106-J), general count and national map (arts. 107, 111-A, 113, 115), appeals (art. 118). No decree fixing the 2029 date exists yet. DATE WORKING (tentative): the Assembly elected on 18 May 2025 after a dissolution runs for the rest of the 2024-25 legislative session plus four sessions (Constitution art. 171(1)-(2)); sessions start on 15 Sep (art. 174(1)), so the legislature ends on 14 Sep 2029. Lei 14/79 art. 19(2): elections for a new legislature 'realizam-se entre o dia 14 de setembro e o dia 14 de outubro do ano correspondente ao termo da legislatura'; art. 20(1): polling day 'deve recair em domingo ou feriado nacional'. The latest such day is Sunday 14 Oct 2029, used here. The President fixes the date at least 60 days ahead (art. 19(1)). Snap-election risk: after a dissolution an election can be called at 55 days' notice (art. 19(1)), as in 2022, 2024 and 2025.",
            "check": null
          },
          {
            "url": "https://diariodarepublica.pt/dr/legislacao-consolidada/decreto-aprovacao-constituicao/1976-34520775",
            "role": "timetable",
            "kind": "other",
            "kindReason": "election page without a results marker",
            "resolvable": false,
            "origin": "race",
            "note": "Constitution, consolidated text: legislature of four legislative sessions and its extension after a dissolution (art. 171), first sitting (art. 173), session year from 15 Sep (art. 174), appointment of the prime minister (art. 187).",
            "check": null
          },
          {
            "url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_Portuguese_legislative_election",
            "role": "see-also",
            "kind": "other",
            "kindReason": "no election or results marker",
            "resolvable": false,
            "origin": "race",
            "check": null
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.cne.pt/",
            "role": "authority-home",
            "kind": "emb_home",
            "kindReason": "site root: cannot answer a results question",
            "resolvable": false,
            "origin": "authority",
            "check": null
          }
        ],
        "page_activity": [],
        "government": {
          "earliestUtc": "2029-10-24T23:00:00Z",
          "precedentDays": [
            18,
            23,
            59
          ],
          "note": "Days from election to the government's swearing-in: 2025 (18 May) XXV Government 5 Jun 2025 (18); 2024 (10 Mar) XXIV Government 2 Apr 2024 (23); 2022 (30 Jan) XXIII Government 30 Mar 2022 (59, after the Europa circle re-run). Dates from portugal.gov.pt and presidencia.pt news items (search listings). A government market needs a deadline beyond the longest precedent."
        },
        "url": "https://electionindex.org/election/portugal-legislative-2029#assembleia"
      }
    ]
  },
  "meta": {
    "dataset_version": "2026-09-25.d023cc13",
    "built_at": "2026-09-25T21:25:00Z",
    "generated_at": "2026-09-25T22:32:13.547Z",
    "licence": "CC BY 4.0: credit \"Election Index (electionindex.org)\" and link to https://electionindex.org",
    "docs": "https://electionindex.org/docs"
  }
}