{
  "data": {
    "id": "kenya-presidential-2027-r2",
    "country": "KE",
    "country_name": "Kenya",
    "date": "2027-09-09",
    "date_status": "tentative",
    "kind": "runoff",
    "conditional": "Held only if no presidential candidate on 10 Aug 2027 receives more than half of all votes cast and at least 25% of the votes cast in each of more than half of the 47 counties (Constitution art. 138(4)). Then 'a fresh election shall be held within thirty days after the previous election' between the candidate(s) with the most votes and the candidate(s) with the second-most (art. 138(5)-(6)); IEBC gazettes that no one was elected and, within two days, the notice of the fresh election (Elections (General) Regulations reg. 88). The date 9 Sep 2027 is the LATEST the Constitution allows (10 Aug + 30 days), not an IEBC date: IEBC's 2027 timetable (Gazette Notice No. 13497) sets no fresh-election date, and none has been held under the 2010 Constitution. The National Assembly and Senate have no second round.",
    "timezone": "Africa/Nairobi",
    "status": "scheduled",
    "last_verified_at": "2026-09-26T12:00:00Z",
    "stale": false,
    "stale_reason": null,
    "provenance": {
      "from": "researcher agent 2026-09-25: IEBC Gazette Notices Nos. 13497-13499 (Kenya Gazette Special Issue Vol. CXXVIII No. 144, 20 Aug 2026) on iebc.or.ke; Constitution of Kenya 2010 arts. 87, 97, 98, 101, 102, 105, 136, 138, 140, 141 (text via constituteproject.org; kenyalaw.org refused access); Elections Act No. 24 of 2011 (Rev. 2019) ss. 39, 76 and Elections (General) Regulations 2012 (Rev. 2017) regs. 66, 83, 87, 88, 89 (IEBC-hosted PDFs); 2022 precedent from IEBC Gazette Notices 9773, 9948, 9950, 9955, 10535 and the Supreme Court judgment in Presidential Election Petition E005 of 2022",
      "licence": "CC BY 4.0 (Election Index)"
    },
    "url": "https://electionindex.org/election/kenya-presidential-2027-r2",
    "races": [
      {
        "id": "president",
        "key": "kenya-presidential-2027-r2/president",
        "name": "President (fresh election)",
        "body": "head-of-state",
        "seats": null,
        "polls_close_utc": "2027-09-09T14:00:00Z",
        "authority": {
          "id": "ke-iebc",
          "name": "Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission",
          "name_local": null,
          "role": "electoral-commission",
          "homepage": "https://www.iebc.or.ke/",
          "results_index": null,
          "open_data": null
        },
        "status": "scheduled",
        "expected_stage_now": null,
        "observed": false,
        "final_observed": null,
        "final_expected": {
          "from": "2027-09-10T21:00:00Z",
          "by": "2027-09-16T20:59:59Z",
          "confidence": "announced",
          "basis": "Constitution art. 138(7): the candidate with the most votes in the fresh election is declared elected; art. 138(10): the IEBC chairperson declares the result 'Within seven days after the presidential election', i.e. by the end of 16 Sep 2027 EAT if the fresh election is held on 9 Sep. Both ends move with the actual polling day, which IEBC fixes in its Form 40 notice. The opening (start of day 2, EAT) is an ESTIMATED floor; first-round 2022 precedent was day 6 (declaration 15 Aug 2022, IEBC Gazette Notice No. 9773)."
        },
        "stages": [
          {
            "stage": "election-night",
            "from": "2027-09-09T14:00:00Z",
            "by": "2027-09-12T20:59:59Z",
            "replacedAt": null,
            "confidence": "estimate",
            "citation": "Polling hours: Elections (General) Regulations 2012 reg. 66(1): 'voting shall commence at 6 o'clock in the morning and end at 5 o'clock in the afternoon on the polling day'; reg. 66(2): anyone in the queue before 5 p.m. may still vote; reg. 64(3): a presiding officer may extend hours at a station that opened late or was interrupted. 17:00 EAT (UTC+3, no daylight saving) = 14:00 UTC; individual stations can close later. (Regulations reg. 89 applies them to a fresh election.) From the close, polling-station results are transmitted electronically as provisional results (reg. 82) and the forms are published on IEBC's online public portal (Elections Act s.39(1C)(c)). The window's end, the end of day 3 EAT, is an ESTIMATE; the polling day itself is tentative. Scanned forms, not the declared result.",
            "source": null,
            "observedAt": null,
            "observedSource": null
          },
          {
            "stage": "final-result",
            "from": "2027-09-10T21:00:00Z",
            "by": "2027-09-16T20:59:59Z",
            "replacedAt": null,
            "confidence": "announced",
            "citation": "Constitution art. 138(7): the candidate with the most votes in the fresh election is declared elected; art. 138(10): the IEBC chairperson declares the result 'Within seven days after the presidential election', i.e. by the end of 16 Sep 2027 EAT if the fresh election is held on 9 Sep. Both ends move with the actual polling day, which IEBC fixes in its Form 40 notice. The opening (start of day 2, EAT) is an ESTIMATED floor; first-round 2022 precedent was day 6 (declaration 15 Aug 2022, IEBC Gazette Notice No. 9773).",
            "source": null,
            "observedAt": null,
            "observedSource": null
          },
          {
            "stage": "court-validation",
            "from": "2027-09-18T21:00:00Z",
            "by": "2027-10-07T20:59:59Z",
            "replacedAt": null,
            "confidence": "announced",
            "citation": "Constitution art. 140(1)-(2): a petition to the Supreme Court within seven days of the declaration, determined within fourteen days of filing, the decision final. Window: from the lapse of seven days after the earliest likely declaration (11 Sep, so from the start of 19 Sep EAT) to the outer limit for a declaration on 16 Sep (petition by 23 Sep, decision by the end of 7 Oct 2027 EAT). The 2022 petition used the full span (declaration 15 Aug, judgment 5 Sep 2022, P.E.P. E005 of 2022). A finding of invalidity triggers a fresh election within 60 days (art. 140(3)), not profiled.",
            "source": null,
            "observedAt": null,
            "observedSource": null
          }
        ],
        "sources": [
          {
            "url": "https://forms.iebc.or.ke/",
            "role": "results-live",
            "kind": "emb_home",
            "kindReason": "site root: cannot answer a results question",
            "resolvable": false,
            "origin": "race",
            "note": "IEBC's online public portal for presidential polling-station result forms (Elections Act s.39(1C)(c)); used in 2022. Not a page for this election: it answered 403 Forbidden from here on 26 Sep 2026. Scanned forms, not the declared result.",
            "check": null
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.iebc.or.ke/electionlaws/?Gazette_Notices",
            "role": "results-final",
            "kind": "other",
            "kindReason": "no election or results marker",
            "resolvable": false,
            "origin": "race",
            "note": "IEBC Gazette Notices index, where the notice that no candidate was elected (Regulations reg. 88(1)), the notice of the fresh election (Form 40, reg. 88(2)) and the declaration of the President-elect would be posted. No Kenyan presidential election under the 2010 Constitution has gone to a fresh election under art. 138(5).",
            "check": null
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.constituteproject.org/constitution/Kenya_2010",
            "role": "timetable",
            "kind": "other",
            "kindReason": "election page without a results marker",
            "resolvable": false,
            "origin": "race",
            "note": "Constitution of Kenya 2010, art. 138(5)-(7): 'If no candidate is elected, a fresh election shall be held within thirty days after the previous election', between the candidate(s) with the most and the second-most votes; the candidate with the most votes in the fresh election is declared elected. Art. 138(10) (declaration within seven days) and art. 140 (Supreme Court petition). Text read on constituteproject.org; kenyalaw.org refused access (403) on 26 Sep 2026.",
            "check": null
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.iebc.or.ke/uploads/resources/902SFZiDqt.pdf",
            "role": "timetable",
            "kind": "other",
            "kindReason": "no election or results marker",
            "resolvable": false,
            "origin": "race",
            "note": "Elections (General) Regulations 2012 (Rev. 2017), IEBC-hosted: reg. 87(4) and 88 (on no winner, IEBC gazettes that fact when it publishes the results and 'shall within two days' publish a notice of the fresh election in Form 40); reg. 89 (the Regulations apply to the fresh election with the necessary modifications), so reg. 66 polling hours apply.",
            "check": null
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.iebc.or.ke/uploads/resources/3MMJlcBEs1.pdf",
            "role": "timetable",
            "kind": "other",
            "kindReason": "no election or results marker",
            "resolvable": false,
            "origin": "race",
            "note": "Gazette Notice No. 13497 (Kenya Gazette Special Issue Vol. CXXVIII No. 144, 20 Aug 2026): first-round polling day Tue 10 Aug 2027. It sets no date for a fresh election.",
            "check": null
          },
          {
            "url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2027_Kenyan_general_election",
            "role": "see-also",
            "kind": "other",
            "kindReason": "election page without a results marker",
            "resolvable": false,
            "origin": "race",
            "check": null
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.iebc.or.ke/",
            "role": "authority-home",
            "kind": "emb_home",
            "kindReason": "site root: cannot answer a results question",
            "resolvable": false,
            "origin": "authority",
            "check": null
          }
        ],
        "page_activity": [],
        "government": null,
        "url": "https://electionindex.org/election/kenya-presidential-2027-r2#president"
      }
    ]
  },
  "meta": {
    "dataset_version": "2026-09-26.7f85138e",
    "built_at": "2026-09-26T15:31:20Z",
    "generated_at": "2026-09-26T16:01:07.870Z",
    "licence": "CC BY 4.0: credit \"Election Index (electionindex.org)\" and link to https://electionindex.org",
    "docs": "https://electionindex.org/docs"
  }
}