{
  "data": {
    "id": "germany-legislative-2029",
    "country": "DE",
    "country_name": "Germany",
    "date": "2029-03-25",
    "date_status": "tentative",
    "kind": "legislative",
    "conditional": null,
    "timezone": "Europe/Berlin",
    "status": "scheduled",
    "last_verified_at": "2026-09-25T12:00:00Z",
    "stale": false,
    "stale_reason": null,
    "provenance": {
      "from": "researcher agent 2026-09-25: Basic Law arts. 39, 41, 63, Bundeswahlgesetz §§16, 42 and Bundeswahlordnung §§47, 71, 78, 79 (gesetze-im-internet.de); bundeswahlleiterin.de Bundestagswahl 2029 page and press releases 26/25, 27/25, 28/25, 29/25, 50/21, 52/21; Bundestag Datenhandbuch ch. 1.2 and 6.1",
      "licence": "CC BY 4.0 (Election Index)"
    },
    "url": "https://electionindex.org/election/germany-legislative-2029",
    "races": [
      {
        "id": "bundestag",
        "key": "germany-legislative-2029/bundestag",
        "name": "Bundestag",
        "body": "legislature-lower",
        "seats": 630,
        "polls_close_utc": "2029-03-25T16:00:00Z",
        "authority": {
          "id": "de-bundeswahlleiterin",
          "name": "Federal Returning Officer",
          "name_local": "Die Bundeswahlleiterin",
          "role": "electoral-commission",
          "homepage": "https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/",
          "results_index": null,
          "open_data": null
        },
        "status": "scheduled",
        "expected_stage_now": null,
        "observed": false,
        "final_observed": null,
        "final_expected": {
          "from": "2029-04-08T22:00:00Z",
          "by": "2029-04-24T21:59:59Z",
          "confidence": "precedent",
          "basis": "The Federal Electoral Committee (Bundeswahlausschuss) makes the final determination (Bundeswahlgesetz §42(3); BWO §78), and the Federal Returning Officer publishes it (BWO §79); no statutory day. Precedent: 2025 determined Fri 14 Mar 2025 (Pressemitteilung 29/25), 2021 Fri 15 Oct 2021 (Pressemitteilung 52/21) - both day 19, which would be Fri 13 Apr 2029. The opening (Monday 9 Apr 2029, 00:00 CEST, day 15) is an ESTIMATED floor. The window closes at the end of Tue 24 Apr 2029 CEST, day 30: the new Bundestag must meet by then (Basic Law art. 39(2)) and members take their seats only after the committee's final determination (BWahlG §42(2)). Election challenges go to the Bundestag and then the Federal Constitutional Court (Basic Law art. 41) after the result, not as a confirmation step, so no court-validation stage."
        },
        "stages": [
          {
            "stage": "election-night",
            "from": "2029-03-25T16:00:00Z",
            "by": "2029-03-26T07:00:00Z",
            "replacedAt": "2029-04-08T22:00:00Z",
            "confidence": "precedent",
            "citation": "Polls close at 18:00 local (BWO §47(1)); 25 Mar 2029 is the day EU summer time starts, so 18:00 CEST = 16:00 UTC (if an earlier Sunday is chosen, 18:00 CET = 17:00 UTC). The Federal Returning Officer compiles the preliminary result from the Land returning officers' quick reports (BWO §71) and announces it overnight. Precedent: 2025 announced at 04:10 CET on 24 Feb 2025 (Pressemitteilung 27/25), 10 h after the close; 2021 at 06:00 CEST on 27 Sep 2021 (Pressemitteilung 50/21), 12 h after. Window closes at 09:00 CEST Monday, 3 h past the slower precedent. Preliminary, not the final result.",
            "source": null,
            "observedAt": null,
            "observedSource": null
          },
          {
            "stage": "final-result",
            "from": "2029-04-08T22:00:00Z",
            "by": "2029-04-24T21:59:59Z",
            "replacedAt": null,
            "confidence": "precedent",
            "citation": "The Federal Electoral Committee (Bundeswahlausschuss) makes the final determination (Bundeswahlgesetz §42(3); BWO §78), and the Federal Returning Officer publishes it (BWO §79); no statutory day. Precedent: 2025 determined Fri 14 Mar 2025 (Pressemitteilung 29/25), 2021 Fri 15 Oct 2021 (Pressemitteilung 52/21) - both day 19, which would be Fri 13 Apr 2029. The opening (Monday 9 Apr 2029, 00:00 CEST, day 15) is an ESTIMATED floor. The window closes at the end of Tue 24 Apr 2029 CEST, day 30: the new Bundestag must meet by then (Basic Law art. 39(2)) and members take their seats only after the committee's final determination (BWahlG §42(2)). Election challenges go to the Bundestag and then the Federal Constitutional Court (Basic Law art. 41) after the result, not as a confirmation step, so no court-validation stage.",
            "source": null,
            "observedAt": null,
            "observedSource": null
          },
          {
            "stage": "government",
            "from": "2029-04-08T22:00:00Z",
            "by": null,
            "replacedAt": null,
            "confidence": "estimate",
            "citation": "Basic Law art. 63: the Bundestag elects the Chancellor on the Federal President's proposal; the Bundestag can do so only once the new house has met, which is after the final result and by day 30 (art. 39(2)). The floor is this file's ESTIMATED earliest final result, not a fixed date. No deadline for the first ballot; art. 63(3)-(4) sets 14-day and 7-day steps only once a ballot has failed.",
            "source": null,
            "observedAt": null,
            "observedSource": null
          }
        ],
        "sources": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/bundestagswahlen/2029.html",
            "role": "results-live",
            "kind": "other",
            "kindReason": "election page without a results marker",
            "resolvable": false,
            "origin": "race",
            "note": "Federal Returning Officer's page for the 2029 Bundestag election (election page, not yet a results page). Checked 25 Sep 2026: it gives the permitted window 26 Jan - 25 Mar 2029 and no date; /bundestagswahlen/2029/ergebnisse.html returned 404. For 2025 the results sat at https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/bundestagswahlen/2025/ergebnisse.html (national page ergebnisse/bund-99.html, open data at ergebnisse/opendata.html); one page carried the preliminary count on election night and was overwritten by the final result. The 2029 path is PREDICTED, not seen.",
            "check": null
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.gesetze-im-internet.de/gg/art_39.html",
            "role": "timetable",
            "kind": "other",
            "kindReason": "election page without a results marker",
            "resolvable": false,
            "origin": "race",
            "note": "Basic Law art. 39(1): new election 'frühestens sechsundvierzig, spätestens achtundvierzig Monate nach Beginn der Wahlperiode'; within 60 days of a dissolution. Art. 39(2): the new Bundestag meets 'spätestens am dreißigsten Tage nach der Wahl'. Polling day is set by the Federal President (Bundeswahlgesetz §16: a Sunday or public holiday); polling hours 8-18 (Bundeswahlordnung §47). DATE WORKING: the 21st Bundestag's term began at its constituent sitting on 25 Mar 2025 (bundeswahlleiterin.de/bundestagswahlen/2029.html), so the election falls between Fri 26 Jan 2029 and Sun 25 Mar 2029, the authority's own reading; 25 Mar 2029 is a Sunday and the latest permitted day, used here as 'tentative'. The President's order (Anordnung über die Bundestagswahl) had not been issued on 25 Sep 2026; in 2021 it came 9.5 months ahead (8 Dec 2020, Datenhandbuch ch. 1.2). Snap-election risk: a dissolution (arts. 63(4), 68) brings the election forward to within 60 days, as on 23 Feb 2025.",
            "check": null
          },
          {
            "url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_German_federal_election",
            "role": "see-also",
            "kind": "other",
            "kindReason": "no election or results marker",
            "resolvable": false,
            "origin": "race",
            "check": null
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/",
            "role": "authority-home",
            "kind": "emb_home",
            "kindReason": "site root: cannot answer a results question",
            "resolvable": false,
            "origin": "authority",
            "check": null
          }
        ],
        "page_activity": [],
        "government": {
          "earliestUtc": "2029-04-08T22:00:00Z",
          "precedentDays": [
            86,
            171,
            73,
            72
          ],
          "note": "Days from election to the Chancellor's election in the Bundestag: 2013 (22 Sep 2013 to 17 Dec 2013) 86, 2017 (24 Sep 2017 to 14 Mar 2018) 171, 2021 (26 Sep 2021 to 8 Dec 2021) 73, 2025 (23 Feb 2025 to 6 May 2025) 72. Dates from Bundestag Datenhandbuch ch. 6.1 and ch. 1.2. A government market needs a deadline beyond the longest precedent."
        },
        "url": "https://electionindex.org/election/germany-legislative-2029#bundestag"
      }
    ]
  },
  "meta": {
    "dataset_version": "2026-09-25.d023cc13",
    "built_at": "2026-09-25T21:25:00Z",
    "generated_at": "2026-09-25T22:25:13.079Z",
    "licence": "CC BY 4.0: credit \"Election Index (electionindex.org)\" and link to https://electionindex.org",
    "docs": "https://electionindex.org/docs"
  }
}